Published Articles
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Braithwaite, A., and Johnson, S.J. (2015) The Battle for Baghdad: Testing Hypotheses about Insurgency from Risk Heterogeneity, Repeat Victimization, and Denial Policing Approaches; Terror and Political Violence, 27:112-132


Caschili S., Medda F., Parola F., Ferrari C. 2014, An analysis of shipping agreements: the Cooperative Container Network, Networks and Spatial Economics: Journal of Infrastructure Modeling and Computation,

Dennett, A. (2014) Quantifying the Effects of Economic and Labour Market Inequalities on Inter-Regional Migration in Europe – A Policy Perspective Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Volume 7, Issue 1 , pp 97-117
DOI: 10.1007/s12061-013-9097-4

de Martinis V, Pagliara F, Wilson A, (2014) The evolution and planning of hierarchical transport networks,  Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 41(2) 192 – 210

Baudains P, Bishop S, Duffour P, Marjanovic-Halburd L, Psarra S, Spataru C (2014) A systems paradigm for integrated building design, Intelligent buildings international 6(4) 201-214

Wray C. M., Bishop S. R. (2014) Cascades on a stochastic pulse-coupled network, Scientific reports, Volume 4 6355
DOI: 10.1038/srep06355

Sofroniou A, Bishop S (2014) Dynamics of a parametrically excited system with twoforcing terms, Mathematics Volume 2(3) 172-195

Bishop, S (2014) Science Exposed, Scientific American, Volume 311 (4) 46

Sofroniou A, Bishop S (2014) Water scarcity in cyprus: a review and call for integrated policy, Water Volume 6(10) 2898-2928

Oléron Evans, T. P. ​& Bishop, S. R.​​, A spatial model with pulsed releases to compare strategies for the sterile insect technique applied to the mosquito Aedes aegypti, Mathematical Biosciences 254, August 2014, 6-27

Sidebottom, A., Ashby, M. and Johnson, S. D (2014) Copper Cable Theft: revisiting the price-theft hypothesis,  Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, published online 13 March 2014
DOI: 10.1177/0022427814521216


Maves J, Braithwaite A (2013) Autocratic institutions and civil conflict contagion, The journal of politics 75(2) 478-490

Dennett A and Wilson A. (2013) A multi-level spatial interaction modelling framework for estimating inter-regional migration in Europe. Environment and Planning A 45: 1491-1507.

Hanna, S., Serras, J. and Varoudis, T. Measuring the structure of global transportation networks Proceedings of the Ninth International Space Syntax Symposium Edited by Y O Kim, H T Park and K W Seo, Seoul: Sejong University, 2013.

Marchione E., Johnson S.D. (2013). Spatial, temporal and spatio-temporal patterns of maritime piracy. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency. Volume 50 Issue 4 November 2013 pp. 504 – 524

Baudains, P., Johnson, S. D. and Braithwaite, A. M. (2013) Geographic patterns of diffusion in the 2011 London riots, Applied Geography, Volume 45, December 2013, Pages 211-219, ISSN 0143-6228

Oleron-Evans, T. P. and Bishop, S. R. Static search games played over graphs and general metric spaces. European Journal of Operational Research. Available online 27 June 2013

Parola F., Satta G.and Caschili, S. Unveiling co-operative networks and ‘hidden families’ in the container port industry. Maritime Policy & Management:The flagship journal of international shipping and port research. DOI:10.1080/03088839.2013.782442

Baudains, P., Braithwaite, A., Johnson, S.D (2013) Target choice during extreme events: a discrete spatial choice model of the 2011 London Riots. Criminology, Article first published online: 5 MAR 2013,
DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12004

Davies, T. P., Fry, H. M., Wilson, A. G., and Bishop, S. R. (2013) A mathematical model of the London riots and their policing, Nature Scientific Reports 3, Article number: 1303


Marchione, E., Johnson, S. and Wilson, A., G. 2012, Modelling maritime piracy: a spatial approach. Volume II of the Geosimulation series at LIT publisher. Editor: Andreas Koch. The general title of volume II is: “Modelling social phenomena in spatial context

Caschili S. and Medda F.R., 2012, A Review of the Maritime Container Shipping Industry as a Complex Adaptive System, INDECS, 10(1), 1-15.

Preis, T., Moat, H.S., Stanley, H.E. & Bishop, S.R. (2012) Quantifying the Advantage of Looking Forward, Nature Sci. Rep. 2, 350.

Hunt, J.C.R., Timoshkina, Y., Baudains, P.J. and Bishop, S.R. (2012). System Dynamics Applied to Operations and Policy Decisions, European Review, 20(3): 324-342.

Cristelli, M., Batty, M., and Pietronero, L. (2012) There is More than a Power Law in Zipf, Nature Scientific Reports 2, Article number: 812

Braithwaite, A. and Johnson, S.D. 2012, Space-time modelling of insurgency and counterinsurgency in Iraq. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 28(1), 31-48

Baudains, P., Braithwaite, A. and Johnson, S.D. 2012, Spatial Patterns in the 2011 London Riots. A Journal of Policy and Practice.
DOI: 10.1093/police/pas049


Dearden, J. and Wilson, A.G., 2011. The relationship of dynamic entropy maximising and agent based approaches. In Heppenstall, A.J., Crooks, A.T., See, L.M., Batty, M. (eds.) 2011. Agent-based Models of Geographical Systems. Berlin: Springer, Chp. 35, pp. 705-720


Wilson, A.G., 2010. Urban and regional dynamics from the global to the local: hierarchies, ‘DNA’ and ‘genetic planning’. Environment and Planning B, 37, pp. 23-30, Wilson, A.G., 2010. Urban and regional dynamics from the global to the local: hierarchies, ‘DNA’ and ‘genetic planning’

Batty, M. 2010. Visualising Space-Time Dynamics in Scaling Systems, Complexity, 16, 2, 51-63

Working Papers

03/11/2014 – CASA Working Paper 198
Levy, Rob G; Oleron Evans, Thomas P; Wilson, Alan G (2014) A global inter-country economic model based on linked input-output models

17/06/2013 – CASA Working Paper 192
Dennett, A (2013) Inter-Regional Migration in Europe and the Influences of Economic and Labour Market Inequalities


16/07/2012 – CASA Working Paper 186
Claydon, K (2012) A global model of human migration

16/05/2012 – CASA Working Paper 184
Dennett, A. and Mateos, P. (2012) Global migration modelling: A review of key policy needs and research centres

28/03/2012 – CASA Working Paper 181
Dennett, A (2012) Estimating flows between geographical locations: ‘get me started in’ spatial interaction modelling

16/01/2012 – CASA Working Paper 178
Fry H. and Wilson, A.G. (2012) A dynamic global trade model with four sectors: food, natural resources, manufactured goods and labour


10/11/2011 – CASA Working Paper 173
Caschili, S. et al., (2011) Cooperation in container shipping: A small world network of agreements

05/11/2011 – CASA Working Paper 172
Caschili, S. and Medda F. R., (2011) Shipping as a complex adaptive system: A new approach in understanding international trade

01/11/2011 – CASA Working Paper 171
Baudains, P., Fry, H., Davies, T. and Wilson, A.G., (2011) Introducing space to mathematical models of conflict



Parallel trends: a study of the relationship between wheat price and maritime freight rate PDF 8.8MB (Luca Cocconcelli)

Analysing the london riots via a mathematical model PDF 21.3MB (Toby Davies)


Geovisualisation of socieconomic inequalities: New trends in the social web [in Spanish] PDF 8.4MB (Pablo Mateos)

Migration and citizenship in social media; A ‘netnography’ of access to Spanish citizenship PDF 1.1MB (Pablo Mateos)

Why did the riots occur here but not there? PDF 4.3MB (Peter Baudains, Alex Braithwaite & Shane Johnson)

From Statistical Modelling to Agent-based Simulations: A study of the London Riots PDF 3.6MB (Peter Baudains, Alex Braithwaite & Shane Johnson)

Modelling Maritime Piracy PDF, 3.2MB (Elio Marchione, Shane Johnson & Alan Wilson)

A Mathematical Model of the London Riots and Their Policing PDF, 14.2MB (Toby Davies, Hannah Fry & Alan Wilson)

Spatial Analysis Modelling of the London Riots PDF, 3.3MB (Toby Davies, Hannah Fry & Alan Wilson)

Rate effects on the growth of centres PDF, 7.6MB (Hannah Fry and Frank Smith)

A multi-level spatial interaction modelling framework for estimating inter-regional migration in Europe PDF, 4.83MB (Adam Dennett)


War games: the life and military ranks of Z. S. Blotto PDF, 2.1MB (Peter Baudains)

Twitter revolutions, conflict modelling and global dynamics PDF, 2.1MB (Peter Baudains)

Exploring intelligent agents and spatial heterogeneity in an agent-based model of civil violence PDF, 2.8MB (Peter Baudains, Alex Braithwaite & Shane Johnson)

Spatial interaction model embedded in Richardson dynamics PDF, 1.9MB (Peter Baudains)

A Richardson arms race model with space PDF, 1.9MB (Peter Baudains)

A Model of the London Riots PDF, 2.35MB (Hannah Fry)

A dynamic global trade model of three sectors PDF, 1.3MB (Hannah Fry)

Using complex systems methods to model global dynamics PDF, 0.98 MB (Hannah Fry)

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